2025/31 | LEM Working Paper Series | ||||||||||||||||
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The Uneven Geography of Carbon Emissions in European Value Chains: A Subnational Analysis of carbon elites-ghettos |
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Giovanni Dosi, Federico Riccio and Maria Enrica Virgillito |
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Keywords | |||||||||||||||||
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CO2 emissions; Global Value Chains; Club convergence; Regional specialisation; Carbon leakage
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JEL Classifications | |||||||||||||||||
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F64; L16; Q56; R11; C23
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Abstract | |||||||||||||||||
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This paper brings new compelling regional-level evidence on the
environmental degradation brought about by intra-European value
chains. The paper postulates the presence of pollution havens derived
as a consequence of the European production integration. We identify a
neat elites-ghettos divide in carbon emission intensity per unit of
production across EU regions: while capital-city and Northern regions
form a carbon elites club, of contained emissions, Eastern regions
converge towards systematically higher intensities. We build the
intra-EU emission network, looking at the CO2 embodied in its
backwards linkages to account for the extent to which the divide
derives from GVC participation. The flow analysis reveals a steady
decline in domestic multipliers, but persistently higher carbon
intensity in foreign intermediates, with the Eastern regions
dominating the most polluting linkages. The elites-ghettos regions are
characterised by opposite emission paths: while the first export CO2
via the outsourcing of the most-polluting production activities toward
the East, the latter import CO2 via the production of high-emission
intermediaries for the West. In fact, convergence clubs display
distinct specialisation profiles, with mid-stream manufacturing
regions structurally locked into higher emission intensity. Overall,
the paper highlights a discarded dimension of GVCs, that is, the
environmental lock-in paths for regions embedded into GVCs to serve as
pollution havens for the European carbon elite.
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