2025/04 LEM Working Paper Series

The emission-inequality nexus across stages of development

Francesco Lamperti, Elisa Palagi and Tommaso Perniola
  Keywords
 
income inequality, climate change, emissions, carbon, mitigation
  JEL Classifications
 
C23, D31, Q50, Q54
  Abstract
 
Does a more unequal society emit more CO2? The nexus between carbon emissions and income inequality has been at the core of a vast literature, which has yielded conflicting results. Leveraging panel econometric techniques, we provide robust evidence of a non-linear relationship that depends on the structural composition of the economy. Specifically, we document a positive association between income inequality, measured with five different indicators, and per capita carbon emissions in highly tertiarized countries. In contrast, the relationship in non-service-intensive economies turns negative. We provide evidence for plausible mechanisms mediating this non-linear association: the carbon footprint of the richest individuals -particularly when linked to investment- and the employment share in industry are key factors underlying the observed patterns. Our results point to the stage of "development" as a crucial factor shaping the emission-inequality nexus. Indeed, it helps identify countries for which fighting inequality comes with climate-related benefits.
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