2024/21 | LEM Working Paper Series | ||||||||||||||||
Creating Jobs Out of the Green: The Employment Effects of the Energy Transition |
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Elisabetta Cappa, Francesco Lamperti and Gianluca Pallante |
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Keywords | |||||||||||||||||
renewable energy, employment multiplier, green stimulus, shift-share
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JEL Classifications | |||||||||||||||||
C26, H50, P18, Q20, Q43, Q52
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Abstract | |||||||||||||||||
A rapid transition towards renewable energy sources is crucial to
address climate change and improve local energy independence. However,
the acceptability of this transition often faces resistance due to
concerns about potential job-losses in the fossil-intensive sectors,
while the employment potential of renewable energy technologies
remains unclear. In this study, we address this concern by employing a
novel and detailed geolocalized dataset of energy power units across
four technologies and three decades, to examine theemployment impacts
of renewable energy investments in four large European countries. To
mitigate for the possible non-random allocation of renewable energy
technologies, we leverage the physical potential of each region in
relation to renewable energy sources, to isolate its exposure to
technology-specific investments. We find that the deployment of
renewable energy plants has a positive and long-lasting impact on
employment. Our central estimates suggest that 1 MW of new renewable
energy installed capacity creates around 40 jobs in 7 years locally,
indicating that 1 Million USD invested in renewable energy
technologies generates approximately 15 jobs over the same time
frame. These estimates are mostly driven by the effects generated by
the solar and wind installations on the construction sector. We find
evidence of substantial heterogeneities across regional features,
where rural and low-income areas are the ones experiencing the largest
employment effect from renewable energy deployment. Overall, our
findings suggest that green energy investments can constitute as a
strategic asset to spur local jobs and encourage rural development.
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