2021/23 | LEM Working Paper Series | ||||||||||||||||
An agent-based model of trickle-up growth and income inequality |
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Elisa Palagi, Mauro Napoletano, Andrea Roventini and Jean-Luc Gaffard |
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Keywords | |||||||||||||||||
Income inequality; social mobility; credit constraints; coordination failures; effective demand; trickle-up growth; fiscal policy.
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JEL Classifications | |||||||||||||||||
C63, D31, E63, E21
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Abstract | |||||||||||||||||
We build an agent-based model to study how coordination failures, credit
constraints and unequal access to investment opportunities affect inequality and aggregate
income dynamics. The economy is populated by households who can invest in
alternative projects associated with different productivity growth rates. Access to
investment projects also depends on credit availability. The income of each household
is determined by the output of the project but also by aggregate demand
conditions. We show that aggregate dynamics is affected by income distribution.
Moreover, we show that the model features a trickle-up growth dynamics.
Redistribution towards poorer households raises aggregate demand and is beneficial for
the income growth of all agents in the economy. Extensive numerical simulations
show that our model is able to reproduce several stylized facts concerning income
inequality and social mobility. Finally, we test the impact of redistributive fiscal
policies, showing that fiscal policies facilitating access to investment opportunities
by poor households have the largest impact in terms of raising long-run aggregate
income and decreasing income inequality. Moreover, policy timing is important:
fiscal policies that are implemented too late may have no significant effects on inequality.
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