2018/17 | LEM Working Paper Series | ||||||||||||||||
Market disequilibrium, monetary policy, and financial markets: insights from new tools |
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Jean-Luc Gaffard and Mauro Napoletano |
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Keywords | |||||||||||||||||
output-inflation dynamics, new-keynesian models, disequilibrium analysis, agent-based models,
fiscal-monetary policy interactions, quantitative easing policies.
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JEL Classifications | |||||||||||||||||
E31, E32, E5, E61, E62
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Abstract | |||||||||||||||||
We revisit the main building blocks of the theoretical models
underlying the monetary policy consensus before the Great
Recession. We highlight how the failure of these models to prevent the
crisis and to provide guidance during the recession were due to the
excessive confidence in the ability of markets to coordinate demand
and supply, and to the neglect of the role of finance. Furthermore, we
outline the main elements of an alternative approach to monetary
policy that put emphasis on the processes driving coordination in
markets, and on the externalities transmitted by financial
inter-linkages. Many elements of this new approach are captured by new
classes of models, namely, agent-based and financial network
models. We discuss some insights from these models for the conduct of
monetary policy, and for its interactions with fiscal and macro-
prudential policies.
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