2016/21 | LEM Working Paper Series | ||||||||||||||||
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Macroprudential Policy: a Blessing or a Curse? |
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Lilit Popoyan |
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Keywords | |||||||||||||||||
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macroprudential policy; Basel III regulation; capital adequacy ratio; counter-cyclical capital buffer; leverage requirement; systemic risk; crisis management; financial stability
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JEL Classifications | |||||||||||||||||
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E02, E32, E52, E58, E6, G01, G21, G28
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Abstract | |||||||||||||||||
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After the destructive impact of the global financial crisis of 2008,
many believe that pre-crisis financial market regulation did not take
the "big picture" of the system suffciently into account and,
subsequently, financial supervision mainly "missed the forest for the
trees". As a result, the need for macroprudential aspects of
regulation emerged, which has recently become the focal point of many
policy debates. This has also led to intense discussion on the
contours of monetary policy after the post-crisis "new normal". Here,
I review recent progress in empirical and theoretical research on the
effectiveness of macroprudential tools, as well as the current state of
the debate, in order to extract common policy conclusions. The work
highlights that, despite the achievements in the literature, the
current experience and knowledge of how macroprudential instruments
work, their calibration, and the mechanisms through which they
interact with each other and with monetary policy are rather limited
and conflicting. Moreover, I critically survey and note the current
challenges faced by macroprudential regulation in creating stable, yet
effcient financial systems. At the same time, I emphasize the importance
of accepting that many risks may remain, requiring that we proceed
prudently and develop better plans for future crises.
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