2016/06 | LEM Working Paper Series | ||||||||||||||||
When more Flexibility Yields more Fragility: the Microfoundations of Keynesian Aggregate Unemployment |
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Giovanni Dosi, Marcelo C. Pereira, Andrea Roventini and Maria Enrica Virgillito |
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Keywords | |||||||||||||||||
Involuntary Unemployment, Aggregate Demand, Wage Determination, Labour Market Regimes, Keynesian Coordination Failures, Agent-Based Models
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JEL Classifications | |||||||||||||||||
C63, E02, E12, E24
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Abstract | |||||||||||||||||
Wages are an element of cost crucially aecting the competitiveness of
individual firms. But the wage bill is also a crucial element of
aggregate demand. Hence it could be that more "flexible" and fluid
labour markets, while allowing for faster inter-firm reallocation of
labour, may also render the whole economic system more fragile, more
prone to recession, more volatile. In this work we investigate some
conditions under which such a conjecture applies. The paper presents
an agent- based model that investigates the effects of two "archetypes
of capitalism", in terms of regimes of labour governance - defined by
the mechanisms of wage determination, firing, labour protection and
productivity gains sharing - upon (i) labour market regularities and
(ii) macroeconomic dynamics (long-term rates of growth, GDP
uctuations, unemployment rates, inequality, etc..). The model is built
upon the "Keynes meets Schumpeter" family of models (Dosi et al.,
2010), explicitly incorporating different microfounded labour market
regimes. Our results show that seemingly more rigid labour markets and
labour relations are conducive to coordination successes with higher
and smoother growth.
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