2014/03 | LEM Working Paper Series | |
Rock around the Clock: An Agent-Based Model of Low- and High-Frequency Trading |
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Sandrine Jacob Leal, Mauro Napoletano, Andrea Roventini, Giorgio Fagiolo |
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Keywords | ||
Agent-based models, Limit order book, High-frequency trading, Low-
frequency trading, Flash crashes, Market volatility
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JEL Classifications | ||
G12, G01, C63
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Abstract | ||
We build an agent-based model to study how the interplay between low-
and high- frequency trading affects asset price dynamics. Our main
goal is to investigate whether high-frequency trading exacerbates
market volatility and generates flash crashes. In the model,
low-frequency agents adopt trading rules based on chrono- logical time
and can switch between fundamentalist and chartist strategies. On the
contrary, high-frequency traders activation is event-driven and
depends on price fluctuations. High-frequency traders use directional
strategies to exploit market in- formation produced by low-frequency
traders. Monte-Carlo simulations reveal that the model replicates the
main stylized facts of financial markets. Furthermore, we find that
the presence of high-frequency trading increases market volatility and
plays a fundamental role in the generation of flash crashes. The
emergence of flash crashes is explained by two salient characteristics
of high-frequency traders, i.e., their ability to i) generate high
bid-ask spreads and ii) synchronize on the sell side of the limit
order book. Finally, we find that higher rates of order cancellation
by high-frequency traders increase the incidence of flash crashes but
reduce their duration.
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